Comments on: Learning from the failures of others; billion-dollar lessons for next to nothing http://www.mcgeesmusings.net/2008/09/02/learning-from-the-failures-of-others-billion-dollar-lessons-for-next-to-nothing/ "The cure for boredom is curiosity. There is no cure for curiosity." - Dorothy Parker Sat, 11 Feb 2012 17:14:26 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: McGee’s Musings : Two explanations for the near collapse of the financial system http://www.mcgeesmusings.net/2008/09/02/learning-from-the-failures-of-others-billion-dollar-lessons-for-next-to-nothing/comment-page-1/#comment-103346 McGee’s Musings : Two explanations for the near collapse of the financial system Wed, 06 Jan 2010 21:16:36 +0000 http://www.mcgeesmusings.net/2008/09/02/learning-from-the-failures-of-others-billion-dollar-lessons-for-next-to-nothing/#comment-103346 [...] It’s a continuation of the work they did in creating Billion Dollar Lessons, which I reviewed here. Posted by Jim on Wednesday, January 6, 2010, at 4:16 pm. Filed under Strategy. Tagged systems. [...] [...] It’s a continuation of the work they did in creating Billion Dollar Lessons, which I reviewed here. Posted by Jim on Wednesday, January 6, 2010, at 4:16 pm. Filed under Strategy. Tagged systems. [...]

]]> By: Tim van Gelder http://www.mcgeesmusings.net/2008/09/02/learning-from-the-failures-of-others-billion-dollar-lessons-for-next-to-nothing/comment-page-1/#comment-102856 Tim van Gelder Wed, 03 Sep 2008 23:49:31 +0000 http://www.mcgeesmusings.net/2008/09/02/learning-from-the-failures-of-others-billion-dollar-lessons-for-next-to-nothing/#comment-102856 One way to "bring evidence to strategic debates so that it can be incorporated most effectively" is to use visual methods to display what evidence you do have - and to highlight where there may be no evidence (or no evidence yet adduced). Regarding Devil's Advocate - people often suggest that this should be used in intelligence analysis. Some people have looked at the empirical evidence, such as it is, on the effectiveness of DA, and I dimly recollect hearing that the evidence suggests, despite the intuitive plausibility of the method, that it didn't in fact improve outcomes. I wonder if Carroll and Mui look at the empirical evidence. Can't check because the book is not yet available - on Amazon at least. Release date Sept 11 - no coincidence? One way to “bring evidence to strategic debates so that it can be incorporated most effectively” is to use visual methods to display what evidence you do have – and to highlight where there may be no evidence (or no evidence yet adduced).

Regarding Devil’s Advocate – people often suggest that this should be used in intelligence analysis. Some people have looked at the empirical evidence, such as it is, on the effectiveness of DA, and I dimly recollect hearing that the evidence suggests, despite the intuitive plausibility of the method, that it didn’t in fact improve outcomes. I wonder if Carroll and Mui look at the empirical evidence.

Can’t check because the book is not yet available – on Amazon at least. Release date Sept 11 – no coincidence?

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